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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Norwich logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Norwich

Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Leonard (12'), McNamara (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Hernandez (35'), Gibson (80'), Aarons (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Norwich City

This has all the makings of a highly-competitive game and Norwich will be confident of becoming just the third team to defeat Millwall at The Den this season. However, we feel that a share of the spoils is most likely, one which would still suit the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
36.47% (0.176 0.18) 27.22% (-0.012 -0.01) 36.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.053000000000004 0.05)55.26% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (0.13500000000001 0.14)29.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (0.163 0.16)65.01% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)65.14% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.47%
    Norwich City 36.3%
    Draw 27.22%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Millwall vs Norwich

Millwall
46.5%
Draw
20.9%
Norwich City
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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