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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Norwich logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Norwich

Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Leonard (12'), McNamara (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Hernandez (35'), Gibson (80'), Aarons (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Norwich City

This has all the makings of a highly-competitive game and Norwich will be confident of becoming just the third team to defeat Millwall at The Den this season. However, we feel that a share of the spoils is most likely, one which would still suit the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
36.47% (0.176 0.18) 27.22% (-0.012 -0.01) 36.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.053000000000004 0.05)55.26% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (0.13500000000001 0.14)29.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (0.163 0.16)65.01% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)65.14% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.47%
    Norwich City 36.3%
    Draw 27.22%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Millwall vs Norwich

Millwall
46.5%
Draw
20.9%
Norwich City
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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