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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Birmingham

Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
McLean (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Colin (53')
Chang (5'), Bacuna (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich were disappointed after leaving Wigan with just a point on Saturday afternoon and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in order to keep the top six within touching distance. Birmingham were hit with a loss as well as two damaging injuries at Huddersfield last time out, and it will be a tough ask to avoid a similar fate in terms of the result at Carrow Road on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
56.44% (-3.057 -3.06) 23.13% (0.862 0.86) 20.43% (2.192 2.19)
Both teams to score 52% (0.957 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-0.579 -0.58)47.69% (0.576 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.538 -0.54)69.89% (0.536 0.54)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-1.244 -1.24)16.69% (1.242 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-2.272 -2.27)46.58% (2.269 2.27)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (2.051 2.05)37.58% (-2.054 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (1.954 1.95)74.36% (-1.955 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 56.44%
    Birmingham City 20.43%
    Draw 23.12%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.648 -0.65)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.419 -0.42)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 56.44%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.472 0.47)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.481 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.244 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
81.6%
Draw
9.6%
Birmingham City
8.8%
114
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Pukki (13'), Vrancic (22'), Trybull (25')
Adams (14')
Kieftenbeld (27'), Pedersen (29'), Gardner (80'), Morrison (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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