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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Birmingham

Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
McLean (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Colin (53')
Chang (5'), Bacuna (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich were disappointed after leaving Wigan with just a point on Saturday afternoon and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in order to keep the top six within touching distance. Birmingham were hit with a loss as well as two damaging injuries at Huddersfield last time out, and it will be a tough ask to avoid a similar fate in terms of the result at Carrow Road on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
56.44% (-3.057 -3.06) 23.13% (0.862 0.86) 20.43% (2.192 2.19)
Both teams to score 52% (0.957 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-0.579 -0.58)47.69% (0.576 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.538 -0.54)69.89% (0.536 0.54)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-1.244 -1.24)16.69% (1.242 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-2.272 -2.27)46.58% (2.269 2.27)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (2.051 2.05)37.58% (-2.054 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (1.954 1.95)74.36% (-1.955 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 56.44%
    Birmingham City 20.43%
    Draw 23.12%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.648 -0.65)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.419 -0.42)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 56.44%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.472 0.47)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.481 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.244 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
81.6%
Draw
9.6%
Birmingham City
8.8%
114
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Pukki (13'), Vrancic (22'), Trybull (25')
Adams (14')
Kieftenbeld (27'), Pedersen (29'), Gardner (80'), Morrison (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
FT
Broncos
7-31
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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