Norwich3 - 1Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City
Norwich were disappointed after leaving Wigan with just a point on Saturday afternoon and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in order to keep the top six within touching distance. Birmingham were hit with a loss as well as two damaging injuries at Huddersfield last time out, and it will be a tough ask to avoid a similar fate in terms of the result at Carrow Road on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Birmingham City |
56.44% ( -3.06) | 23.13% ( 0.86) | 20.43% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( -0.58) | 47.69% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( -0.54) | 69.89% ( 0.54) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -1.24) | 16.69% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.42% ( -2.27) | 46.58% ( 2.27) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( 2.05) | 37.58% ( -2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.64% ( 1.95) | 74.36% ( -1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.62)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.08% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.43% |
