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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

With both clubs going through a poor run of form, the stakes are high in this contest as they bid to stay in touch with the top six. Taking that into consideration, we feel that a low-scoring draw is most likely, one which will be deemed acceptable by both sets of supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
42.27% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 27.99% (-0.032 -0.03) 29.73% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.43% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (0.127 0.13)59.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)79.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.046000000000006 0.05)27.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.060000000000002 0.06)63.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.11 0.11)35.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (0.112 0.11)72.54% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.27%
    Millwall 29.73%
    Draw 27.98%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
37.9%
Draw
30.5%
Millwall
31.6%
95
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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