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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Burnley


Giannoulis (12'), Omobamidele (16'), Dowell (42'), Nunez (83'), Idah (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Brownhill (29'), Barnes (40'), Roberts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Burnley

Despite their different trajectories throughout the campaign, this should prove to be an intriguing fixture which should not be regarded as a foregone conclusion. There is a feeling that both sides would probably accept a draw if it was offered to them beforehand, and it leads us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
39.41% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09) 26.77% (-0.214 -0.21) 33.82% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.736 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.905 0.91)53.66% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.757 0.76)75.15% (-0.758 -0.76)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.372 0.37)26.63% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.49 0.49)61.87% (-0.491 -0.49)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.651 0.65)29.97% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.778 0.78)66.08% (-0.779 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 39.4%
    Burnley 33.82%
    Draw 26.77%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Burnley
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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