Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 2-0 Plymouth Argyle
Although it remains to be seen whether Millwall will react positively or negatively to playing with reduced pressure, we cannot ignore their three successive wins. While Plymouth have improved of late, a home victory looks far more likely. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
51.02% ( 0.19) | 24.85% ( -0.07) | 24.12% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( 0.18) | 50.83% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.16) | 72.72% ( -0.16) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 0.15) | 19.92% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.94% ( 0.23) | 52.06% ( -0.23) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( -0.01) | 35.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.41% ( -0.01) | 72.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.02% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.12% |
