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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Plymouth Argyle

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Cooper (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Although it remains to be seen whether Millwall will react positively or negatively to playing with reduced pressure, we cannot ignore their three successive wins. While Plymouth have improved of late, a home victory looks far more likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
51.02% (0.188 0.19) 24.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (0.178 0.18)50.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.156 0.16)72.72% (-0.155 -0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.148 0.15)19.92% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.235 0.23)52.06% (-0.235 -0.23)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 24.12%
    Draw 24.84%
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.12%

How you voted: Millwall vs Plymouth

Millwall
70.4%
Draw
14.8%
Plymouth Argyle
14.8%
54
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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