Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall3 - 1Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leicester
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City
With Cardiff having little choice but to go for a win, this has the potential to be an entertaining game. However, that may change if Millwall score first, and we feel the visitors could have to accept a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
43.15% ( 0.04) | 26.94% ( 0.02) | 29.9% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
