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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.43% ( 4.77) | 23.75% ( -0.66) | 34.82% ( -4.11) |
Both teams to score 62.03% ( 2.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.01% ( 2.92) | 39.99% ( -2.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.65% ( 2.95) | 62.35% ( -2.95) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.4% ( 3.59) | 19.6% ( -3.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.45% ( 5.54) | 51.55% ( -5.54) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% ( -0.81) | 22.84% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.43% ( -1.21) | 56.57% ( 1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.75) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.57) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.34) Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -1.12) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.97) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.55) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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