Norwich1 - 2Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Norwich City 1-2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough are flying at the moment, and they will be aiming to record a third straight win over Norwich in Tuesday's contest. Boro won 2-1 at Carrow Road in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring in this game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
35.56% ( 0.23) | 24.94% ( 0.02) | 39.49% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% ( -0.1) | 45.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.09) | 67.85% ( 0.09) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( 0.08) | 24.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.34% ( 0.12) | 59.65% ( -0.12) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -0.17) | 22.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.34% ( -0.25) | 56.66% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.56% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.49% |
