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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff

Rankin-Costello (53')
Dolan (33'), Hyam (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Collins (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-2 Cardiff City

Despite the difference in league positions, there is an argument that the momentum is with Blackburn heading into this encounter. Nevertheless, Cardiff needed the international break after appearing to run out of steam, and we are backing the Bluebirds to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
50.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 25.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.51% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)50.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.14%
    Cardiff City 25.53%
    Draw 24.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.14%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
45.8%
Draw
45.8%
Cardiff City
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Blackburn
5-2
Cardiff
Garrett (13'), Sigurdsson (36'), Moran (49', 54'), Markanday (69')
Robinson (18'), Etete (45+3')
Jan 1, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Blackburn
1-0
Cardiff
Dack (48')
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
0-1
Blackburn

Drameh (41'), Ng (59'), Collins (73'), Pack (90+4')
Rothwell (14')
Paul van Hecke (42'), Travis (50'), Lenihan (56'), Nyambe (59'), Gallagher (90'), Kaminski (90+1')
Nyambe (76')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Blackburn
5-1
Cardiff
Gallagher (24'), Brereton Diaz (32', 45+1', 90' pen.), Dolan (53')
Morrison (58')
Flint (8'), Phillips (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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