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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Ipswich logo

Norwich
1 - 0
Ipswich

Nunez (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tuanzebe (31')

The Match

Match Report

Norwich City claim a narrow 1-0 victory over bitter rivals Ipswich Town to boost their hopes of securing a Championship playoff place.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Southampton
Monday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawIpswich Town
46.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.23% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)50.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.82%
    Ipswich Town 29.1%
    Draw 24.07%
Norwich CityDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Norwich vs Ipswich

Norwich City
30.9%
Draw
19.1%
Ipswich Town
50.0%
68
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Ipswich
2-2
Norwich
Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')
Rowe (40', 49')
Feb 10, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 31
Norwich
3-0
Ipswich
Hernandez (2'), Pukki (65', 80')
Lewis (60'), Trybull (76'), Stiepermann (79'), Cantwell (90')

Skuse (32'), Nolan (45'), Downes (90')
Sep 2, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 6
Ipswich
1-1
Norwich
Edwards (57')
Chambers (26'), Graham (42')
Leitner (71')
Godfrey (49')
Feb 18, 2018 12pm
Norwich
1-1
Ipswich
Klose (90')
Leitner (58')
Chambers (89')
Garner (55'), Skuse (65'), Connolly (67'), Waghorn (80'), Spence (82')
Oct 22, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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