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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Ipswich logo

Norwich
1 - 0
Ipswich

Nunez (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tuanzebe (31')

The Match

Match Report

Norwich City claim a narrow 1-0 victory over bitter rivals Ipswich Town to boost their hopes of securing a Championship playoff place.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Southampton
Monday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawIpswich Town
46.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.23% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)50.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.82%
    Ipswich Town 29.1%
    Draw 24.07%
Norwich CityDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Norwich vs Ipswich

Norwich City
30.9%
Draw
19.1%
Ipswich Town
50.0%
68
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Ipswich
2-2
Norwich
Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')
Rowe (40', 49')
Feb 10, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 31
Norwich
3-0
Ipswich
Hernandez (2'), Pukki (65', 80')
Lewis (60'), Trybull (76'), Stiepermann (79'), Cantwell (90')

Skuse (32'), Nolan (45'), Downes (90')
Sep 2, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 6
Ipswich
1-1
Norwich
Edwards (57')
Chambers (26'), Graham (42')
Leitner (71')
Godfrey (49')
Feb 18, 2018 12pm
Norwich
1-1
Ipswich
Klose (90')
Leitner (58')
Chambers (89')
Garner (55'), Skuse (65'), Connolly (67'), Waghorn (80'), Spence (82')
Oct 22, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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