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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Ipswich logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wintle (90+5'), O'Dowda (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moore (79')
Hladky (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Ipswich Town

As two of the form teams in the division, we expect a fiercely-competitive contest to play out at the Cardiff City Stadium. The home side will push hard for three points with draws no longer any use to them, but that may allow Ipswich to snatch a winner in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawIpswich Town
25.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.6% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 48.58% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-0.162 -0.16)52.47% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.14 -0.14)74.14% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.24% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.087 -0.09)71.99% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)21.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.134 -0.13)54.72% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.81%
    Ipswich Town 48.58%
    Draw 25.59%
Cardiff CityDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.81%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Ipswich

Cardiff City
16.0%
Draw
12.0%
Ipswich Town
72.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ipswich
3-2
Cardiff
Broadhead (59'), Ladapo (68', 78')
Clarke (33'), Burns (64'), Williams (90'), Broadhead (90+6')
Ramsey (30'), Ralls (52')
Tanner (38'), Ng (65'), Panzo (87')
Feb 21, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Hoilett (12'), Bogle (46'), Ward (91')
Morrison (83')
Celina (90')
Smith (60')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Zohore (36', 50'), Bennett (63')
Chambers (23')
Berra (53'), Pitman (68')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Ipswich
1-1
Cardiff
Varney (52')
Lawrence (37'), Chambers (91')
Gunnarsson (38')
Connolly (27'), Gunnarsson (87'), Pilkington (90'), Hoilett (93')
Bamba (70')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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