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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Ipswich logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wintle (90+5'), O'Dowda (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moore (79')
Hladky (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Ipswich Town

As two of the form teams in the division, we expect a fiercely-competitive contest to play out at the Cardiff City Stadium. The home side will push hard for three points with draws no longer any use to them, but that may allow Ipswich to snatch a winner in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawIpswich Town
25.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.6% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 48.58% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-0.162 -0.16)52.47% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.14 -0.14)74.14% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.24% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.087 -0.09)71.99% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)21.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.134 -0.13)54.72% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.81%
    Ipswich Town 48.58%
    Draw 25.59%
Cardiff CityDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.81%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Ipswich

Cardiff City
16.0%
Draw
12.0%
Ipswich Town
72.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ipswich
3-2
Cardiff
Broadhead (59'), Ladapo (68', 78')
Clarke (33'), Burns (64'), Williams (90'), Broadhead (90+6')
Ramsey (30'), Ralls (52')
Tanner (38'), Ng (65'), Panzo (87')
Feb 21, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Hoilett (12'), Bogle (46'), Ward (91')
Morrison (83')
Celina (90')
Smith (60')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Zohore (36', 50'), Bennett (63')
Chambers (23')
Berra (53'), Pitman (68')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Ipswich
1-1
Cardiff
Varney (52')
Lawrence (37'), Chambers (91')
Gunnarsson (38')
Connolly (27'), Gunnarsson (87'), Pilkington (90'), Hoilett (93')
Bamba (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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