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Championship header 2

Championship
Ipswich logo
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Southampton logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Southampton

Davis (13'), Broadhead (68'), Sarmiento (90+7')
Morsy (16'), Taylor (70'), Chaplin (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Adams (14'), Armstrong (23')
Bednarek (90+5')
Bree (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Ipswich
Friday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-2 Southampton

 As ruthless as Ipswich have been in front of goal at Portman Road, the Championship leaders are prone to a defensive collapse in front of their own fans, music to the ears of a free-scoring Southampton unit. However, with Martin's men also struggling for clean sheets in the second tier, the victory that the visitors crave may elude them, and a high-scoring stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSouthampton
51.89% (-2.366 -2.37) 20.59% (0.543 0.54) 27.51% (1.817 1.82)
Both teams to score 69.86% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.88% (-1.061 -1.06)28.12% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.11% (-1.326 -1.33)48.89% (1.32 1.32)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)11.39% (0.977 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (-2.172 -2.17)36.13% (2.168 2.17)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.54899999999999 0.55)21.16% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.849 0.85)54.03% (-0.854 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 51.89%
    Southampton 27.51%
    Draw 20.59%
Ipswich TownDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.294 -0.29)
4-2 @ 2.7% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.231 -0.23)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.4% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.89%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.35 0.35)
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.29 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.55% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.232 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.162 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.11 0.11)
3-4 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 27.51%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Southampton

Ipswich Town
62.2%
Draw
22.4%
Southampton
15.3%
98
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Southampton
0-1
Ipswich

Harwood-Bellis (59'), Adams (77')
Hutchinson (30')
Williams (38'), Taylor (52')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
Third Round
Ipswich
0-1
Southampton
Long (19')
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2015 3pm
Third Round
Southampton
1-1
Ipswich
> Match Report
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Southampton
1-1
Ipswich
Lambert (74')
Harding (87')

Murphy (68')
> Match Report
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-5
Southampton
Andrews (56'), Emmanuel-Thomas (61')
Delaney (35'), Chopra (81')
Lambert (4', 11'), Connolly (42'), Lallana (76', 90')
Richardson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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