Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2023 at 12pm UK
Carrow Road
Norwich3 - 1Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Norwich City 2-1 Millwall
While it is still early days in Norwich's season, the signs are there that improvements have been made under Wagner. Millwall have the qualities to earn a share of the spoils at Carrow Road, yet we feel that the home side will battle their way to another three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
42.46% ( 0.44) | 28.25% ( 0.24) | 29.28% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
