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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Millwall


Howson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, July 29 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Even though this is the opening weekend, the pressure is on Boro to make a fast start. We feel that may not necessarily help them going forward, yet Carrick's side may just about edge an hard-fought contest at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
39.58% (-1.703 -1.7) 26.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.23% (1.664 1.66)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.313 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.211 0.21)51.17% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.183 0.18)73.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.795 -0.8)25.39% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-1.104 -1.1)60.2% (1.101 1.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (1.167 1.17)28.48% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (1.446 1.45)64.25% (-1.45 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.58%
    Millwall 34.23%
    Draw 26.18%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.204 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Millwall
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Millwall
1-0
Middlesbrough
Hall (31' og.)
McNamara (35')

Bola (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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