Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth3 - 3Watford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Watford
Plymouth's home form this season has been excellent, but Watford have lost just four of their 11 matches on their travels, so we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. A draw would not be the worst result for either team on Monday, and we are predicting a 1-1 in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
| 41.77% | 24.03% | 34.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
