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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Southampton
2 - 1
Plymouth

Alcaraz (56'), Adams (63')
Smallbone (40'), Manning (44'), Alcaraz (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hardie (90+1')
Mumba (13'), Edwards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth having collected points in their recent matches, the pressure is off to a certain extent. However, Southampton look unbeatable at present and, while we expect the visitors to be competitive for a time, the home side should eventually cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.28% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 14.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 67.28%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.82%
    Draw 17.91%
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 67.28%
1-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.82%

How you voted: Southampton vs Plymouth

Southampton
74.6%
Draw
5.6%
Plymouth Argyle
19.7%
71
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Plymouth
1-2
Southampton
Hardie (51')
Scarr (10'), Hardie (58')
Tella (49'), Adams (90+4')
Armstrong (30'), Charles (42'), Manning (74'), Stephens (90+1')
May 2, 2011 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Southampton
Bolasie (90')
Walton (52')
Dickson (49'), Lambert (45', 59')
Jaidi (45')
Dec 26, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Southampton
Summerfield (52' pen.), Fallon (38')
MacLean (79')

Davis (51'), Lancashire (51'), Skacel (51')
Nov 25, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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