MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 08:43:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Southampton
2 - 1
Plymouth

Alcaraz (56'), Adams (63')
Smallbone (40'), Manning (44'), Alcaraz (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hardie (90+1')
Mumba (13'), Edwards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth having collected points in their recent matches, the pressure is off to a certain extent. However, Southampton look unbeatable at present and, while we expect the visitors to be competitive for a time, the home side should eventually cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.28% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 14.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 67.28%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.82%
    Draw 17.91%
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 67.28%
1-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.82%

How you voted: Southampton vs Plymouth

Southampton
74.6%
Draw
5.6%
Plymouth Argyle
19.7%
71
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Plymouth
1-2
Southampton
Hardie (51')
Scarr (10'), Hardie (58')
Tella (49'), Adams (90+4')
Armstrong (30'), Charles (42'), Manning (74'), Stephens (90+1')
May 2, 2011 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Southampton
Bolasie (90')
Walton (52')
Dickson (49'), Lambert (45', 59')
Jaidi (45')
Dec 26, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Southampton
Summerfield (52' pen.), Fallon (38')
MacLean (79')

Davis (51'), Lancashire (51'), Skacel (51')
Nov 25, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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