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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Southampton

With both teams very much in form, this is a tough match to predict. Watford are growing in confidence, particularly at home, but Southampton have scored a lot of late decisive goals this season and we feel that a similar outcome may materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
45.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 23.41% (0.193 0.19) 30.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-1.046 -1.05)39.72% (1.044 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (-1.095 -1.1)62.07% (1.094 1.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.393 -0.39)17.75% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.683 -0.68)48.43% (0.681 0.68)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)24.92% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.921 -0.92)59.55% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.6%
    Southampton 30.98%
    Draw 23.41%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Southampton
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
Jun 28, 2020 4.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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