MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 21:48:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Watford logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Watford

Wharton (3')
Garrett (36'), Moran (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rajovic (83'), Healey (87')
Hoedt (65'), Rajovic (81'), Andrews (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Watford

The inconsistency of both teams make this a difficult one to predict. We fancy Watford to make an impression after their recent demolition job of Preston, yet it would not be Blackburn-like if they did not respond to a defeat by getting back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
42.67% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 25.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.99% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)48.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.028000000000002 0.03)70.29% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.042000000000002 0.04)64.16% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.67%
    Watford 31.99%
    Draw 25.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Watford

Blackburn Rovers
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
30.4%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 4
Watford
0-1
Blackburn

Hoedt (24'), Andrews (69'), Louza (69')
Hedges (72')
Hyam (63'), Rankin-Costello (77')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Watford
1-1
Blackburn
Hoedt (74')
Dack (24')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Blackburn
2-0
Watford
Hedges (38'), Hyam (82')
Feb 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Blackburn
2-3
Watford
Elliott (43'), Brereton (82')
Rothwell (34')
Pedro (25'), Sarr (38'), Sema (60')
Oct 21, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
3-1
Blackburn
Pedro (13'), Cleverley (17'), Lenihan (49' og.)
Kabasele (22'), Ngakia (75'), Pedro (84')
Brereton (28')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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