Bristol City4 - 0Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
for
We said: Bristol City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle
With Plymouth having been read the riot act by Rooney, an improved performance is anticipated at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, Argyle's away record is abysmal, leading us to predict a comfortable home success for Bristol City. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
59.42% ( -0.03) | 23.09% ( 0.01) | 17.49% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% ( -0.03) | 51.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( -0.03) | 73.39% ( 0.03) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0.02) | 17.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.04) | 47.19% ( 0.04) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0) | 43.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.56% | 79.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.42% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.49% |
