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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Luton Town

Having conceded eight goals in their last two away games, we do not envisage this fixture going Luton's way. Although Norwich have lost ground on the playoff spots, their performance versus Plymouth should stand them in good stead ahead of this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
61.13% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.38% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 18.49% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.121 0.12)38.24% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (0.127 0.13)60.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.035000000000011 0.04)12.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.07 0.07)37.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (0.102 0.1)34.11% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (0.107 0.11)70.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 61.13%
    Luton Town 18.49%
    Draw 20.38%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.13%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 18.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
14.8%
Luton Town
11.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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