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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Luton Town

Having conceded eight goals in their last two away games, we do not envisage this fixture going Luton's way. Although Norwich have lost ground on the playoff spots, their performance versus Plymouth should stand them in good stead ahead of this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
61.13% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.38% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 18.49% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.121 0.12)38.24% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (0.127 0.13)60.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.035000000000011 0.04)12.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.07 0.07)37.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (0.102 0.1)34.11% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (0.107 0.11)70.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 61.13%
    Luton Town 18.49%
    Draw 20.38%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.13%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 18.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
14.8%
Luton Town
11.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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