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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Leeds United |
27.2% ( -0.53) | 24.78% ( -0.07) | 48.02% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.84% ( -0.03) | 48.16% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.68% ( -0.03) | 70.32% ( 0.02) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.18% ( -0.41) | 31.82% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.74% ( -0.48) | 68.26% ( 0.48) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( 0.24) | 20.1% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% ( 0.39) | 52.35% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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