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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.46% ( -0.43) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 34.07% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% ( -0.1) | 43.53% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.07% ( -0.09) | 65.92% ( 0.09) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( -0.24) | 21.08% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( -0.38) | 53.9% ( 0.37) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( 0.18) | 24.91% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.46% ( 0.25) | 59.54% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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