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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Stoke


McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke City

While Stoke deserve credit for their last two victories, facing the in-form team in the division on away territory is a different level of task. We expect Boro to continue on their way, recording another win that could see them move into the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
48.68% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.67% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.052 -0.05)42.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)65.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)17.74% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)64.5% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.68%
    Stoke City 27.67%
    Draw 23.64%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
76.2%
Draw
14.3%
Stoke City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-0
Stoke
Hall (21'), McNair (40'), Mendez-Laing (88')

Powell (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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