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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Rotherham
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Odofin (48')
Lindsay (29'), Odofin (68'), Bramall (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hackney (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Cardiff
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Middlesbrough

On the back of two narrow defeats, Rotherham are under pressure to rise to the occasion on Monday, something which will not be easy against a team of Boro's quality. With the visitors able to play with more freedom, we feel that they will ultimately edge what will be a tense contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
25.17% (0.299 0.3) 21.82% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 53% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (0.192 0.19)36.36% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (0.21 0.21)58.49% (-0.208 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.32799999999999 0.33)27.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.427 0.43)62.51% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)13.89% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)41.3% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 25.17%
    Middlesbrough 53%
    Draw 21.82%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.049 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 53%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Middlesbrough

Rotherham United
7.7%
Draw
23.1%
Middlesbrough
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 7.45pm
Jul 30, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
0-1
Middlesbrough
McNair (14')
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
gameweek 43
Rotherham
1-2
Middlesbrough
MacDonald (3')
Lindsay (64'), Smith (76')
Crooks (18')
Saville (33'), Akpom (55')
Saville (72'), McNair (90'), Kebano (90+1')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
0-3
Rotherham
Crooks (43'), Smith (79' pen.), Giles (90+2')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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