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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Rotherham
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Odofin (48')
Lindsay (29'), Odofin (68'), Bramall (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hackney (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Cardiff
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Middlesbrough

On the back of two narrow defeats, Rotherham are under pressure to rise to the occasion on Monday, something which will not be easy against a team of Boro's quality. With the visitors able to play with more freedom, we feel that they will ultimately edge what will be a tense contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
25.17% (0.299 0.3) 21.82% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 53% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (0.192 0.19)36.36% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (0.21 0.21)58.49% (-0.208 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.32799999999999 0.33)27.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.427 0.43)62.51% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)13.89% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)41.3% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 25.17%
    Middlesbrough 53%
    Draw 21.82%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.049 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 53%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Middlesbrough

Rotherham United
7.7%
Draw
23.1%
Middlesbrough
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 7.45pm
Jul 30, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
0-1
Middlesbrough
McNair (14')
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
gameweek 43
Rotherham
1-2
Middlesbrough
MacDonald (3')
Lindsay (64'), Smith (76')
Crooks (18')
Saville (33'), Akpom (55')
Saville (72'), McNair (90'), Kebano (90+1')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
0-3
Rotherham
Crooks (43'), Smith (79' pen.), Giles (90+2')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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