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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
43.18% ( -0.43) | 24.89% ( 0.23) | 31.93% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.82% ( -0.98) | 46.18% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% ( -0.93) | 68.47% ( 0.93) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.58% ( -0.61) | 21.41% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.58% ( -0.94) | 54.42% ( 0.94) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.36) | 27.49% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% ( -0.46) | 62.99% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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