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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Vyner (22'), Weimann (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Smith (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Despite losing their defensive acumen in recent matches, Middlesbrough never need any lessons in breaking down the opposition, and an injury-hit Bristol City side should strap in for a rough ride against the vengeful Boro. The Robins' penchant for goals at Ashton Gate will serve them well, but we still have faith in Carrick's men to get their promotion charge back on track and deal Pearson's side their first Championship home defeat of 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
30.76% (-0.924 -0.92) 24.94% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 44.3% (0.829 0.83)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.794 -0.79)46.83% (0.792 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.747 -0.75)69.08% (0.74600000000001 0.75)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.99799999999999 -1)28.58% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-1.267 -1.27)64.37% (1.266 1.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.067 0.07)54.04% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 30.76%
    Middlesbrough 44.3%
    Draw 24.93%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.321 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.3%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
15.2%
Draw
17.4%
Middlesbrough
67.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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