Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.