We said: Swansea City 1-2 Leeds United
Swansea were impressive during their 1-0 win over promotion-chasing Hull on the weekend, but the visit of Leeds will be a much sterner test for the Welsh side.
The Whites have the strength in depth at the top end of the pitch to outscore opponents, and we feel that Farke's men will make it seven-straight wins in the Championship on Tuesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.