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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Southampton
4 - 0
Sheff Weds

Adams (35'), Armstrong (63'), Fraser (75'), Mara (85')
Bednarek (56'), Armstrong (59'), Downes (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernard (10'), Bannan (52'), Ihiekwe (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday have certainly come on leaps and bounds in recent months and will fancy themselves to go toe to toe with any Championship side, but Saturday's trip to the in-form promotion-hopefuls may be a step too far, and we can only envisage Russell Martin's side outclassing the Owls at St Mary's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
63.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 20.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (0.090000000000003 0.09)66.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.043999999999997 0.04)13.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.083999999999996 0.08)40.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (0.038000000000004 0.04)40.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96% (0.035 0.04)77.04% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.21%
    Sheffield Wednesday 16.08%
    Draw 20.71%
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
2-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Southampton vs Sheff Weds

Southampton
92.1%
Draw
5.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Sheff Weds
1-2
Southampton
Gregory (54')
Gregory (28'), Paterson (30'), Delgado (45+1'), Dawson (78')
Armstrong (8'), Adams (87')
Armstrong (27'), Manning (37'), Tella (64'), Stephens (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Southampton
1-1
Sheff Weds
Southampton win 6-5 on penalties
Ward-Prowse (45+2' pen.)
Windass (24')
Sep 25, 2012 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Sep 25, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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