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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
63.21% ( 0.04) | 20.71% ( -0.03) | 16.08% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.95% ( 0.09) | 44.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% ( 0.09) | 66.44% ( -0.09) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.71% ( 0.04) | 13.3% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.88% ( 0.08) | 40.12% ( -0.08) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.58% ( 0.04) | 40.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.96% ( 0.04) | 77.04% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
2-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.71% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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