Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
45.64% ( -0.76) | 22.92% ( 0.15) | 31.44% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 63.81% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.88% ( -0.4) | 37.12% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% ( -0.44) | 59.32% ( 0.44) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% ( -0.44) | 16.71% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.39% ( -0.79) | 46.61% ( 0.79) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( 0.16) | 23.38% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.23) | 57.36% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |