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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
49.28% ( -0.42) | 25.62% ( 0.21) | 25.1% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.92% ( -0.64) | 53.08% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.33% ( -0.54) | 74.66% ( 0.54) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( -0.44) | 21.56% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.36% ( -0.68) | 54.64% ( 0.68) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.82% ( -0.16) | 36.18% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.03% ( -0.17) | 72.96% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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