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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Coventry City

Southampton
2 - 1
Coventry

Walker-Peters (18'), Adams (38')
Downes (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bidwell (68')
Latibeaudiere (3'), Eccles (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-2 Coventry City

Southampton are unlikely to fire a blank in front of goal in back-to-back matches, but the Saints' defensive fragility always gives their opposition a chance going the other way. Coventry have showcased their ability to produce shock results on the road in recent times, and we reckon that the Sky Blues will force a share of the spoils on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
54.28% (-3.152 -3.15) 21.58% (1.099 1.1) 24.13% (2.056 2.06)
Both teams to score 62.42% (-1.29 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71% (-2.873 -2.87)36.28% (2.875 2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (-3.213 -3.21)58.41% (3.216 3.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-1.85 -1.85)13.46% (1.852 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-3.847 -3.85)40.45% (3.85 3.85)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.051999999999992 0.05)27.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.066000000000003 0.07)63.48% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.29%
    Coventry City 24.13%
    Draw 21.58%
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.545 0.55)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.376 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.3 -0.3)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.708 0.71)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.511 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.46 0.46)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.424 0.42)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Southampton vs Coventry

Southampton
36.8%
Draw
28.9%
Coventry City
34.2%
76
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Coventry
1-1
Southampton
Wright (50')
Palmer (90+1')
Edozie (67')
Walker-Peters (37'), Martin (38'), Bednarek (70'), Aribo (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Southampton
2-1
Coventry
Armstrong (63'), Walker-Peters (112')
Valery (78'), Walker-Peters (113')
Gyokeres (22')
Eccles (41'), Hamer (45+2'), Sheaf (58'), Kane (105'), Clarke-Salter (117')
Apr 28, 2012 12.30pm
Nov 5, 2011 3pm
Oct 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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