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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Southampton logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Southampton

Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Southampton

With the pressure off Cardiff, we expect the Bluebirds to throw caution to the wind in search of maximum points. Nevertheless, Southampton could still edge this contest, aware that they can ill-afford any dropped points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
22.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 22.67% (0.0019999999999989 0) 54.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.64% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.71% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 22.46%
    Southampton 54.87%
    Draw 22.66%
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.87%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Southampton

Cardiff City
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Southampton
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Southampton
2-0
Cardiff
Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')

Colwill (72')
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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