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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Southampton |
22.46% ( 0.02) | 22.67% ( 0) | 54.87% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( 0.02) | 43.24% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( 0.02) | 65.64% ( -0.02) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( 0.03) | 33.11% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% ( 0.03) | 69.71% ( -0.03) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( -0) | 15.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.3% | 44.7% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.46% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.61% Total : 54.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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