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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
2 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bartley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-0 West Bromwich Albion

 Southampton have shown attacking quality and fighting spirit in equal measure during their current unbeaten run, and the Saints will be confident of extending their streak against a West Brom side who are not always effective on the road. The Baggies are doing a commendable job of chasing down promotion despite the ongoing issues at the club, but we believe that they will leave St Mary's with a loss on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
36.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 25.79% (0.363 0.36) 38.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-1.625 -1.63)49.26% (1.62 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-1.482 -1.48)71.31% (1.477 1.48)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.729 -0.73)26.39% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.981 -0.98)61.54% (0.976 0.98)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.97 -0.97)25.36% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.346 -1.35)60.15% (1.341 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.19%
    West Bromwich Albion 38.02%
    Draw 25.79%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.02%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
West Bromwich Albion
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')

Ward-Prowse (37')
> Match Report
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
> Match Report
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fifth Round
West Brom
1-2
Southampton
Rondon (58')
Krychowiak (30'), McClean (42')
Hoedt (11'), Tadic (56')
Carrillo (45'), Lemina (75')
> Match Report
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Hegazi (4'), Rondon (72')
Barry (22'), Phillips (92')
Lemina (40'), Stephens (43'), Ward-Prowse (55')
Bertrand (92')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
Southampton
1-0
West Brom
Boufal (85')

Chadli (67')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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