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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
2 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bartley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-0 West Bromwich Albion

 Southampton have shown attacking quality and fighting spirit in equal measure during their current unbeaten run, and the Saints will be confident of extending their streak against a West Brom side who are not always effective on the road. The Baggies are doing a commendable job of chasing down promotion despite the ongoing issues at the club, but we believe that they will leave St Mary's with a loss on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
36.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 25.79% (0.363 0.36) 38.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-1.625 -1.63)49.26% (1.62 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-1.482 -1.48)71.31% (1.477 1.48)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.729 -0.73)26.39% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.981 -0.98)61.54% (0.976 0.98)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.97 -0.97)25.36% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.346 -1.35)60.15% (1.341 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.19%
    West Bromwich Albion 38.02%
    Draw 25.79%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.02%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
West Bromwich Albion
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')

Ward-Prowse (37')
> Match Report
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
> Match Report
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fifth Round
West Brom
1-2
Southampton
Rondon (58')
Krychowiak (30'), McClean (42')
Hoedt (11'), Tadic (56')
Carrillo (45'), Lemina (75')
> Match Report
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Hegazi (4'), Rondon (72')
Barry (22'), Phillips (92')
Lemina (40'), Stephens (43'), Ward-Prowse (55')
Bertrand (92')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
Southampton
1-0
West Brom
Boufal (85')

Chadli (67')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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