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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Derby logo

Stoke
2 - 1
Derby

Cannon (9' pen.), Gibson (82')
Moran (71'), Stevens (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Johansson (68' og.)
Harness (48'), Phillips (54'), Adams (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Stoke
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Derby County

 After putting in a respectable performance against Premier League opposition in the EFL Cup, Stoke should be confident of earning three points at home to Derby. The Rams are winless from six Championship away matches so far, and we do not envisage the visitors breaking that streak in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
41.84% (0.219 0.22) 25.45% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 32.71% (-0.315 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-0.496 -0.5)48.36% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.457 -0.46)70.5% (0.452 0.45)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.111 -0.11)22.98% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (-0.16 -0.16)56.78% (0.153 0.15)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.444 -0.44)28.06% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (-0.564 -0.56)63.72% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.84%
    Derby County 32.71%
    Draw 25.44%
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.84%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.71%

How you voted: Stoke vs Derby

Stoke City
54.1%
Draw
29.7%
Derby County
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
3-0
Stoke
Nelson (19'), Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (41')
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
1-2
Derby
Ince (78')
Wilmot (16'), Vrancic (61'), Tymon (71')
Plange (16'), Kazim-Richards (85')
Plange (59')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
2-1
Stoke
Bird (31'), Davies (34')
Shinnie (8'), Sibley (38')
Ince (58')
Sawyers (33'), Skiri Oestigaard (77'), Ince (89')
> Match Report
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
1-0
Derby
Brown (74')
Smith (21')

Cresswell (88')
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Derby
0-0
Stoke
Buchanan (48'), Knight (76'), Bielik (90+2')
Cousins (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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