MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:05:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Derby logo

Stoke
2 - 1
Derby

Cannon (9' pen.), Gibson (82')
Moran (71'), Stevens (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Johansson (68' og.)
Harness (48'), Phillips (54'), Adams (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Stoke
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Derby County

 After putting in a respectable performance against Premier League opposition in the EFL Cup, Stoke should be confident of earning three points at home to Derby. The Rams are winless from six Championship away matches so far, and we do not envisage the visitors breaking that streak in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
41.84% (0.219 0.22) 25.45% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 32.71% (-0.315 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-0.496 -0.5)48.36% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.457 -0.46)70.5% (0.452 0.45)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.111 -0.11)22.98% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (-0.16 -0.16)56.78% (0.153 0.15)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.444 -0.44)28.06% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (-0.564 -0.56)63.72% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.84%
    Derby County 32.71%
    Draw 25.44%
Stoke CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.84%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.71%

How you voted: Stoke vs Derby

Stoke City
54.1%
Draw
29.7%
Derby County
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
3-0
Stoke
Nelson (19'), Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (41')
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
1-2
Derby
Ince (78')
Wilmot (16'), Vrancic (61'), Tymon (71')
Plange (16'), Kazim-Richards (85')
Plange (59')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
2-1
Stoke
Bird (31'), Davies (34')
Shinnie (8'), Sibley (38')
Ince (58')
Sawyers (33'), Skiri Oestigaard (77'), Ince (89')
> Match Report
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
1-0
Derby
Brown (74')
Smith (21')

Cresswell (88')
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Derby
0-0
Stoke
Buchanan (48'), Knight (76'), Bielik (90+2')
Cousins (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!