MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:26:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Hull logo

Derby
1 - 1
Hull City

Brown (66')
Forsyth (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simons (57')
Simons (72'), Hughes (77'), Burstow (90+1'), Pedro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Hull City

With Derby County having excelled at home so far this season and the visitors yet to truly click under Tim Walter, we back Derby County to earn another three points and continue their pleasing start to the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
41.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.5% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46%48.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 41.63%
    Hull City 32.87%
    Draw 25.49%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Derby vs Hull City

Derby County
58.7%
Draw
27.0%
Hull City
14.3%
63
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
3-1
Hull City
Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
0-1
Derby

Jones (71')
Baldock (57')
Morrison (79'), Roos (90+1'), Stretton (90+2')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hull City
2-0
Derby
Bowen (74', 80')
Irvine (11'), Bowler (44'), de Wijs (45'), Elder (63')

Holmes (53')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
2-0
Hull City
Waghorn (41', 71')
Wilson (93')

Ridgewell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!