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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
0 - 0
Stoke

FT

Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Stoke City

Backing up a six-goal showing in midweek is likely to be difficult for Stoke, particularly with Pelach still attempting to prove himself. Nevertheless, the superior firepower of the visitors could see them edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
47.73% (0.102 0.1) 24.92% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 27.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (0.17 0.17)48.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (0.155 0.16)70.75% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)20.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (0.179 0.18)52.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)31.95% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (0.055 0.05)68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.73%
    Stoke City 27.35%
    Draw 24.91%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
45.1%
Draw
21.6%
Stoke City
33.3%
51
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
19Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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