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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
72.09% ( 0.04) | 16.98% ( -0.02) | 10.93% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.72% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.95% ( 0.02) | 39.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.63% ( 0.02) | 61.37% ( -0.02) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.48% ( 0.01) | 9.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.1% ( 0.03) | 31.89% ( -0.04) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.95% ( -0.02) | 45.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.03% ( -0.02) | 80.97% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
2-0 @ 11.85% 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 72.08% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.98% | 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 10.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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