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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
QPR logo

Burnley
1 - 2
QPR

Benson (76')
Harwood-Bellis (63'), Twine (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Field (58'), Martin (87')
Armstrong (80'), Laird (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burnley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

This is the worst fixture possible for QPR at this time and we expect it to end in defeat. Burnley want to wrap up the second-tier crown in style, something we feel will be achieved with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
72.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 16.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95% (0.021999999999998 0.02)39.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)9.51% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)80.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.08%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.93%
    Draw 16.98%
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 11.85%
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 9.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 16.98%
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Burnley vs QPR

Burnley
92.0%
Draw
0.0%
Queens Park Rangers
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 1pm
gameweek 22
QPR
0-3
Burnley
Berg Gudmundsson (19'), Maatsen (45+2'), Tella (71')
Cork (52')
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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