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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Stoke

Kaba (29')
Ralls (33'), Etete (42'), Sawyers (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laurent (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

Neil will feel that he needs a strong end to the season to keep his job at the bet365 Stadium and Stoke have the quality to prevail from this contest. However, Cardiff turned a corner in midweek, and the extra motivation may lead to them edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
25.89% (-0.177 -0.18) 26.51% (0.102 0.1) 47.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.487 -0.49)55.89% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.397 -0.4)77% (0.39999999999999 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (-0.418 -0.42)37.04% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-0.419 -0.42)73.83% (0.422 0.42)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)23.5% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.252 -0.25)57.53% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.89%
    Stoke City 47.59%
    Draw 26.5%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.6% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Stoke City
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke

Pack (56')

Allen (88')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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