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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Stoke

Kaba (29')
Ralls (33'), Etete (42'), Sawyers (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laurent (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

Neil will feel that he needs a strong end to the season to keep his job at the bet365 Stadium and Stoke have the quality to prevail from this contest. However, Cardiff turned a corner in midweek, and the extra motivation may lead to them edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
25.89% (-0.177 -0.18) 26.51% (0.102 0.1) 47.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.487 -0.49)55.89% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.397 -0.4)77% (0.39999999999999 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (-0.418 -0.42)37.04% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-0.419 -0.42)73.83% (0.422 0.42)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)23.5% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.252 -0.25)57.53% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.89%
    Stoke City 47.59%
    Draw 26.5%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.6% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Stoke City
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke

Pack (56')

Allen (88')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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