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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Stoke logo

Birmingham
0 - 0
Stoke


Roberts (27'), Bielik (61')
FT

Wilmot (56'), Pearson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Birmingham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Stoke City

With the pressure off each of these teams to a certain extent, any result is possible. For us, though, Stoke's superior goal threat should prove pivotal, and we are backing the Potters to extend their excellent run of form on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawStoke City
22.81% (0.283 0.28) 25.14% (0.458 0.46) 52.05% (-0.741 -0.74)
Both teams to score 49.1% (-1.011 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (-1.506 -1.51)53.15% (1.509 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-1.295 -1.3)74.72% (1.298 1.3)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (-0.572 -0.57)38.3% (0.575 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.554 -0.55)75.06% (0.557 0.56)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.89 -0.89)20.42% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (-1.435 -1.44)52.86% (1.438 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 22.81%
    Stoke City 52.04%
    Draw 25.13%
Birmingham CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.325 0.33)
2-1 @ 5.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 22.81%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.454 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 12.42% (0.39 0.39)
0-2 @ 9.87% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 52.04%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Stoke

Birmingham City
27.0%
Draw
13.5%
Stoke City
59.5%
37
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Birmingham
Baker (75' pen.)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Jutkiewicz (8')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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