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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
22.81% ( 0.28) | 25.14% ( 0.46) | 52.05% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% ( -1.51) | 53.15% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( -1.3) | 74.72% ( 1.3) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( -0.57) | 38.3% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( -0.55) | 75.06% ( 0.56) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.89) | 20.42% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( -1.44) | 52.86% ( 1.44) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.81% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.61% Total : 52.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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