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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
0 - 2
Luton


Obafemi (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Luton Town

Following Tuesday's disappointing result, Swansea will head into the weekend looking to deliver an immediate response. The Swans take on a floundering Luton Town side who are yet to find their feet this season and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
37.9% (4.661 4.66) 27.18% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.91% (-4.299 -4.3)
Both teams to score 50.26% (1.389 1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (1.623 1.62)55.15% (-1.627 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (1.319 1.32)76.4% (-1.323 -1.32)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (3.725 3.73)28.19% (-3.728 -3.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (4.483 4.48)63.88% (-4.485 -4.48)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-1.792 -1.79)30.01% (1.789 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-2.214 -2.21)66.13% (2.211 2.21)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.9%
    Luton Town 34.91%
    Draw 27.18%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.733 0.73)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.908 0.91)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.617 0.62)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.627 0.63)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.9%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.547 -0.55)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-1.21 -1.21)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-1.081 -1.08)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Luton Town
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
Jun 27, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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