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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
0 - 2
Luton


Obafemi (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Luton Town

Following Tuesday's disappointing result, Swansea will head into the weekend looking to deliver an immediate response. The Swans take on a floundering Luton Town side who are yet to find their feet this season and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
37.9% (4.661 4.66) 27.18% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.91% (-4.299 -4.3)
Both teams to score 50.26% (1.389 1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (1.623 1.62)55.15% (-1.627 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (1.319 1.32)76.4% (-1.323 -1.32)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (3.725 3.73)28.19% (-3.728 -3.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (4.483 4.48)63.88% (-4.485 -4.48)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-1.792 -1.79)30.01% (1.789 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-2.214 -2.21)66.13% (2.211 2.21)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.9%
    Luton Town 34.91%
    Draw 27.18%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.733 0.73)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.908 0.91)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.617 0.62)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.627 0.63)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.9%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.547 -0.55)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-1.21 -1.21)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-1.081 -1.08)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Luton Town
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
Jun 27, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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