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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
0 - 2
Luton


Obafemi (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Luton Town

Following Tuesday's disappointing result, Swansea will head into the weekend looking to deliver an immediate response. The Swans take on a floundering Luton Town side who are yet to find their feet this season and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
37.9% (4.661 4.66) 27.18% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.91% (-4.299 -4.3)
Both teams to score 50.26% (1.389 1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (1.623 1.62)55.15% (-1.627 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (1.319 1.32)76.4% (-1.323 -1.32)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (3.725 3.73)28.19% (-3.728 -3.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (4.483 4.48)63.88% (-4.485 -4.48)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-1.792 -1.79)30.01% (1.789 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-2.214 -2.21)66.13% (2.211 2.21)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.9%
    Luton Town 34.91%
    Draw 27.18%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.733 0.73)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.908 0.91)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.617 0.62)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.627 0.63)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.9%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.547 -0.55)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-1.21 -1.21)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-1.081 -1.08)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Luton Town
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
Jun 27, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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