Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Swansea City in this match.