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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton Town

Bristol City
2 - 0
Luton

Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Luton Town

With both teams low on confidence heading into this one, we expect a nervy and tense affair with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
29.01% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 26.75% (0.029 0.03) 44.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)55.07% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)76.33% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.75% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)24.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-0.104 -0.1)59.31% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.01%
    Luton Town 44.24%
    Draw 26.74%
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.24%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Luton

Bristol City
42.7%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
24.0%
96
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Bristol City
3-0
Luton
Watkins (4'), Diedhiou (44' pen.), Weimann (66')
Williams (49')

Berry (32'), Bradley (58'), Collins (63'), Pearson (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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