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Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Millwall

Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

The Wales team have taken 10 points from their first four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Swansea City and Millwall, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.6%29.09%32.31%
Both teams to score 44.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61%62.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98%82.02%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.27%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.6%
    Millwall 32.31%
    Draw 29.07%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2020 5pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swansea
1-0
Millwall
Byers (43')

Marshall (42'), Archer (87')
Sep 1, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
1-2
Swansea
Wallace (62')
Wallace (53')
Naughton (77'), McBurnie (85')
Montero (89')
Baker-Richardson (5')
Apr 30, 2011 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Swansea
Pratley (30'), Dobbie (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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