Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.