Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.