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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Birmingham logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Birmingham

Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Cirkin (16')
Cirkin (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hall (29')
Bielik (34'), Colin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Sunderland
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland will be buoyed by their much-needed win at Cardiff on Monday and should be confident of beating a Birmingham side who arguably have nothing to play for in the remaining five matches. Blues have been good defensively in recent matches, but we see a slip in concentration at the Stadium of Light for the visitors in this one, ultimately leading to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
44.38% (0.13 0.13) 26.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 29.41% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)74.42% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.070999999999998 0.07)23.68% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.102 0.1)57.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)32.58% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.081 -0.08)69.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 44.38%
    Birmingham City 29.41%
    Draw 26.21%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham

Sunderland
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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