MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:53:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
2 - 2
Leeds

Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 0-2 Leeds United

 Watford would do well to target a potentially decimated left-hand side of the Leeds XI, but the hosts just cannot buy a win at Vicarage Road, and the new manager bounce should only take them so far this weekend. With Leeds possessing the formula for clean sheets on the road during their near-impeccable start to 2024, the visitors should pick up where they left off before the international break and maintain their standing in first place, in spite of their fresh fitness issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
24.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 51.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.72% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.72% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Score Analysis
    Watford 24.84%
    Leeds United 51.45%
    Draw 23.7%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.84%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.45%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
16.5%
Draw
5.8%
Leeds United
77.7%
139
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Fifth Round
Watford
1-0
Leeds
> Match Report
Feb 28, 2015 3pm
Leeds
2-3
Watford
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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