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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
2 - 2
Leeds

Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 0-2 Leeds United

Watford would do well to target a potentially decimated left-hand side of the Leeds XI, but the hosts just cannot buy a win at Vicarage Road, and the new manager bounce should only take them so far this weekend. With Leeds possessing the formula for clean sheets on the road during their near-impeccable start to 2024, the visitors should pick up where they left off before the international break and maintain their standing in first place, in spite of their fresh fitness issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
24.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 51.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.72% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.72% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Score Analysis
    Watford 24.84%
    Leeds United 51.45%
    Draw 23.7%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.84%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.45%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
16.5%
Draw
5.8%
Leeds United
77.7%
139
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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