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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
2 - 2
Leeds

Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 0-2 Leeds United

Watford would do well to target a potentially decimated left-hand side of the Leeds XI, but the hosts just cannot buy a win at Vicarage Road, and the new manager bounce should only take them so far this weekend. With Leeds possessing the formula for clean sheets on the road during their near-impeccable start to 2024, the visitors should pick up where they left off before the international break and maintain their standing in first place, in spite of their fresh fitness issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
24.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 51.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.72% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.72% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Score Analysis
    Watford 24.84%
    Leeds United 51.45%
    Draw 23.7%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.84%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.45%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
16.5%
Draw
5.8%
Leeds United
77.7%
139
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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