MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:13:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 1
Swansea

Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Swansea City

Although these two clubs will expect to remain in the Championship, the stakes are high for both sides, who are aware that defeat could lead to becoming embroiled in a relegation scrap. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw be played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.42% (0.106 0.11) 23.82% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 25.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.057000000000002 0.06)17.93% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (0.095999999999997 0.1)48.75% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)67.67% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.42%
    Swansea City 25.76%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
Swansea City
34.3%
108
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!