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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Bristol City

West Brom
2 - 0
Bristol City

Fellows (45'), Wallace (50')
Townsend (28'), Yokuslu (71'), Kipre (85'), Palmer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (45+1'), Knight (45'), Gardner-Hickman (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Bristol City

West Brom have added attacking flair to their defensive stability since the turn of the calendar year and should be very confident of another home victory on Saturday. Bristol City are in the doldrums following a poor run of form and at risk of being swept aside at The Hawthorns as the Baggies chase down the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
49.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.5% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)74.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)54.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.45% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 49.2%
    Bristol City 25.29%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Bristol City

West Bromwich Albion
84.5%
Draw
12.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
58
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol City
0-0
West Brom
Pring (39'), Tanner (54')
Phillips (30'), Molumby (67')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Bristol City
3-0
West Brom
Bell (12', 48'), Scott (28')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
2-2
West Brom
Wells (29'), Weimann (85')
Weimann (76')
Grant (68' pen.), Reach (90+3')
Livermore (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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